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Obama Backlash? Dem Governors Tanking in Polls

by: Bill Dupray   posted: 2009-06-30 20:23:00
Viewed 901 times. 3 Comments.

How else to explain the fact that Democrat governors in two of the most liberal states in the country, New Jersey and Massachusetts, appear to be in big electoral trouble? Either Obama and Congress are damaging the Party brand or these two guys must really suck as governors. Either way, the numbers don't lie.

First, Chris Christie continues to dominate incumbent New Jersey Governor John Corzine.

From RCP Blog.

Nearly a month after winning the Republican primary, former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie maintains a double-digit lead over Gov. Jon Corzine (D), a new Public Policy Polling (D) survey finds.

General Election Matchup

Christie 51

Corzine 41

Undecided 9

Typically, New Jerseyans are late making up their minds in campaigns, owing to the fact that the state has no major television market of its own and coverage tends to be minimal among New York and Philadelphia outlets. But the survey found that 70 percent of voters are "solidly committed" to their candidate, with only 30 percent saying they could change their mind. Breaking those numbers down, Republicans tended to be more committed to their choice (81 percent), while more than a third of Democrats said they still could change their minds.

Christie is still unknown to a quarter of state voters, while Corzine maintains an upside-down favorability rating.

Favorability Ratings

Corzine 36/56

Christie 43/33

Nice negatives there guv. I'll bet he's a big hit on the cocktail circuit.

Christie was mopping the floor with Corzine by double digits back in March and April too, so while New Jersey voters may decide late in the game who they will pick, the trend clearly favors Christie.

In Massachusetts, Governor Obama-lite Deval Patrick, though not in as bad a shape as Corzine, seems to be losing to the dog catcher, or something.

Also from RCP.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll finds that Patrick trails businessman Christy Mihos by 1 point (41%-40%), and leads Charlie Baker by 5 points (36%-41%). Mihos got 7% of the vote in 2006 running as an independent, and Charlie Baker's resume includes "Health Care Corporation CEO" and "Ex-Gubernatorial Aide." . . . But having never held elected office, as Republicans in Massachusetts, they shouldn't be holding a Democratic incumbent to 40% of the vote. Very grim for Patrick right now
.

When you add in all the other bad poll numbers for Democrats this Spring, one (and perhaps The One) has to wonder whether they are on borrowed time.

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Comments 3

Melissa on 2009-06-30 20:54:10

Deval Patrick is another Soros puppet. He was a trial balloon for Obama. His slogan was, "Together We Can".


emo on 2009-06-30 20:58:48

Not very encouraging to see Deval Patrick losing only by 1 and leading the other candidate by 5. Also as for NJ, no statewide GOP candidate has broken 50% since the 1980s. The last was Kean. The GOP seems stuck there at 46-47%. GOP always polls better in NJ than the results on election day


Bill Dupray on 2009-06-30 21:05:01

As for Patrick, apparently these Pubs are nobodys. I am not sure when the deadline is to file for a candidacy, but it looks like an anybody-but-Patrick situation. As for both MA and NJ, obviously they are both huge Dem states, but Obama is doing unprecedented damage (much worse than Clinton) and when that happens,all past election models are highly suspect. Republicans have and can win there. Obama's popularity extends all the way out to . . . Obama. And no farther. I predict next year will be a bloodbath. There are virtually no polls to indicate otherwise (at least this early).


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