
by: Bill Dupray posted: 2009-06-30 20:23:00
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How else to explain the fact that Democrat governors in two of the most liberal states in the country, New Jersey and Massachusetts, appear to be in big electoral trouble? Either Obama and Congress are damaging the Party brand or these two guys must really suck as governors. Either way, the numbers don't lie.
First, Chris Christie continues to dominate incumbent New Jersey Governor John Corzine.
From RCP Blog.
Nearly a month after winning the Republican primary, former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie maintains a double-digit lead over Gov. Jon Corzine (D), a new Public Policy Polling (D) survey finds.General Election Matchup
Christie 51
Corzine 41
Undecided 9
Typically, New Jerseyans are late making up their minds in campaigns, owing to the fact that the state has no major television market of its own and coverage tends to be minimal among New York and Philadelphia outlets. But the survey found that 70 percent of voters are "solidly committed" to their candidate, with only 30 percent saying they could change their mind. Breaking those numbers down, Republicans tended to be more committed to their choice (81 percent), while more than a third of Democrats said they still could change their minds.
Christie is still unknown to a quarter of state voters, while Corzine maintains an upside-down favorability rating.
Favorability Ratings
Corzine 36/56
Christie 43/33
Nice negatives there guv. I'll bet he's a big hit on the cocktail circuit.
Christie was mopping the floor with Corzine by double digits back in March and April too, so while New Jersey voters may decide late in the game who they will pick, the trend clearly favors Christie.
In Massachusetts, Governor Obama-lite Deval Patrick, though not in as bad a shape as Corzine, seems to be losing to the dog catcher, or something.
Also from RCP.
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll finds that Patrick trails businessman Christy Mihos by 1 point (41%-40%), and leads Charlie Baker by 5 points (36%-41%). Mihos got 7% of the vote in 2006 running as an independent, and Charlie Baker's resume includes "Health Care Corporation CEO" and "Ex-Gubernatorial Aide." . . . But having never held elected office, as Republicans in Massachusetts, they shouldn't be holding a Democratic incumbent to 40% of the vote. Very grim for Patrick right now.
When you add in all the other bad poll numbers for Democrats this Spring, one (and perhaps The One) has to wonder whether they are on borrowed time.
Trackback url: http://patriotroom.com/article/obama-backlash-dem-governors-tanking-in-polls/trackback
Not very encouraging to see Deval Patrick losing only by 1 and leading the other candidate by 5. Also as for NJ, no statewide GOP candidate has broken 50% since the 1980s. The last was Kean. The GOP seems stuck there at 46-47%. GOP always polls better in NJ than the results on election day
As for Patrick, apparently these Pubs are nobodys. I am not sure when the deadline is to file for a candidacy, but it looks like an anybody-but-Patrick situation. As for both MA and NJ, obviously they are both huge Dem states, but Obama is doing unprecedented damage (much worse than Clinton) and when that happens,all past election models are highly suspect. Republicans have and can win there. Obama's popularity extends all the way out to . . . Obama. And no farther. I predict next year will be a bloodbath. There are virtually no polls to indicate otherwise (at least this early).
McCain now finds himself jammed, moving starkly — and often awkwardly — to the right, apparently in an effort to gain favor among the same voters whom Mr. Hayworth, a consistent voice for the far right, could pull toward him like taffy come summer. McCain now sharply criticizes the bailout bill he voted for, pivoted from his earlier position that the Guantánamo Bay detention facility should be closed, offered only a muted response to the Supreme Court’s decision undoing campaign finance laws and backed down from statements that gays in the military would be O.K. by him... “John is undergoing a campaign conversion,” Mr. Hayworth said. Hayworth’s radio-personality bluster and big emotions.. may now have a part in the greater populist narrative that threatens many of the nation’s more centrist Republicans.
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Iran said Tuesday that it had begun producing higher-grade enriched uranium, marking a new and potentially dangerous turn in Tehran's confrontation with the West over its nuclear ambitions... U.S. National Intelligence Director Dennis C. Blair told the House intelligence committee last week that "Iran has the scientific, the technical, the industrial capacity to produce enough highly enriched uranium for a weapon in the next few years and eventually to produce a nuclear weapon. The central issue is a political decision by Iran to do so."
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I wouldn't want my fingerprints on anything this administration or congress proposes. Reid told reporters the bill would be introduced on Tuesday, and that it would include an extension of the tax breaks... Reid did not say how expensive the jobs bill would be. The Senate had been considering a package of roughly $80 billion. The House passed a larger jobs bill before Christmas, but now plans to unveil a different bill independent of that package, which did not garner Republican support.
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Back in November, the House passed its health care bill by a narrow 220 to 215 margin, with 39 Democrats voting against it. Since then, the one Republican who voted for it — Joseph Cao — has indicated that he would not support the bill a second time around given the weaker language on abortion in the Senate version. In addition, Florida Rep. Robert Wexler already retired prematurely. Factor in Murtha’s death today, and Pelosi is down to 217 votes — one short of passage. To pass the bill at some point in the next few months, she’ll need to flip a Democrat who is already on record voting against the bill.
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Don't think that Republicans can't be sucked in when an anti-Wall Street lynch mob gets its blood up. Recall that Sarbanes-Oxley, the devastating antigrowth response in 2002 to the Enron and Worldcom scandals, was passed with virtually unanimous support by Republicans in Congress, and signed by a Republican president. Recall that last year 85 House Republicans voted for a 90% tax on bonuses for any employee of any bank that took more than $5 billion in TARP money. Investors got some good news last Friday. Stocks resisted following through on Thursday's sharp plunge after (Congress) reached an impasse on bank re-regulation. That's a nice down payment on what investors need a lot more of now: proof that the GOP won't join Democrats in a populist rush to seek revenge against Wall Street.
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Just two years after Mr. Obama helped his party pull in record Wall Street contributions — $89 million from the securities and investment business, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics — some of his biggest supporters, like Mr. Dimon, have become the industry’s chief lobbyists against his regulatory agenda. Republicans are rushing to capitalize on what they call Wall Street’s “buyer’s remorse” with the Democrats. And industry executives and lobbyists are warning Democrats that if Mr. Obama keeps attacking Wall Street “fat cats,” they may fight back by withholding their cash.
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The Dow, down almost 104 points, had its 10th triple-digit move in 16 trading days. Shares of big banks pulled the market lower, extending a slump that has led to four straight weekly losses.I can't, for the life of me, understand why bank stocks would be dropping. Inexplicable.
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Contrary to President Obama's promises, voters say special interests have more influence on the political process now than they did a year ago, according to a new poll. The poll, paid for by groups looking to curb the Supreme Court's recent campaign finance ruling, found that majorities of both Republicans and Democrats say special interests have increased their influence since the president took office, and they say Mr. Obama has not done enough to fight back.
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If the starting point for this meeting is the job-killing bills the American people have already soundly rejected, Republicans would rightly be reluctant to participate,” the pair explained in a letter to White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel. They also said President Barack Obama should remove reconciliation from the table. Using budget reconciliation rules to move healthcare reform in the Senate would mean Democrats would only need 51 votes on procedural measures instead of 60... On Sunday afternoon however, Obama refused to say he would start from scratch.
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An announcement from his office said Murtha died at 1:18 p.m. at the Virginia Hospital Center, where he had been admitted last week after having his gallbladder removed at Bethesda Naval Hospital.
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Deval Patrick is another Soros puppet. He was a trial balloon for Obama. His slogan was, "Together We Can".